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China unlikely to make use of navy to safe Hormuz Strait, analyst says

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China is extremely unlikely to make use of its navy to safe the important Strait of Hormuz if Iran threatens to shut it as Center East tensions rise, a prime US analyst advised reporters Monday.

Though China relies upon closely on Center Japanese oil, its method could be formed by quiet negotiations and self-interest, not direct army intervention, Richard Fontaine, chief government of the Heart for a New American Safety, a Washington-based suppose tank, stated.

He pointed to assaults by Iran-aligned Houthi rebels within the Purple Sea final yr, when Beijing reached an settlement with the group to spare Chinese language-flagged vessels.

“China acted, nevertheless it simply lower a separate cope with the Houthis,” Fontaine stated. Its focus, he added, was “defending its personal pursuits” quite than policing international waterways.

Though about 16 per cent of China’s seaborne crude got here from Iran in early 2025, CNAS analysts stated its method would stay formed by long-standing financial pursuits.



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